Winners & losers

Who backed the winners in 2026, and who lost the most

Every super PAC, donor and PAC ranked by how much of its money ended up on the winning side. A dollar counts as a win if it backed the candidate who won or attacked one who lost. Win rates count called races only. Results as of Nov 5, 2026: 418 of 470 races called, and this page updates as more are.

Biggest loser

$320M

Senate Leadership Fund, on losing sides (4% win rate)

Biggest winner

$275M

WinSenate, on winning sides (100% win rate)

Outside money on losers

$1.75B

54% of $3.24B in called races

Races called

418 / 470

As of Nov 5, 2026

Super PACs and outside groups

Who backed the winners, who wasted the most

Groups that spent on their own to help or attack candidates, with at least $1M in called races. Ranked by dollars on their side.
All super PACs →
✓ Backed the winner or attacked the loser ✗ Backed the loser or attacked the winner Race not called yet Result not matched

Backed the winners

  1. 1WinSenate$275M
    Backed by Senate Democrats' allies100% win rate · of $275M called

    $6.9M in races still counting

  2. 2House Majority PAC$225M
    Backed by House Democratic leadership99% win rate · of $226M called

    $57M in races still counting

  3. 3Lower Costs Now$75M
    99% win rate · of $76M called

    $2.3M in races still counting

  4. 4Lcv Victory Fund$43M
    98% win rate · of $44M called

    $3.8M in races still counting

  5. 5Lone Star Rising PAC$40M
    100% win rate · of $40M called
  6. 6Ab PAC$36M
    90% win rate · of $40M called

    $6.7M in races still counting

  7. 7Everytown for Gun Safety Victory Fund (Everytown Victory Fund)$31M
    100% win rate · of $31M called

    $3.8M in races still counting

  8. 8Cffe PAC$29M
    100% win rate · of $29M called

    $2.0M in races still counting

  9. 9Government That Works PAC$28M
    99% win rate · of $29M called

    $3.9M in races still counting

  10. 10Texas Forever$27M
    100% win rate · of $27M called

Backed the losers

  1. 1Senate Leadership Fund$320M
    Backed by Senate Republican leadership4% win rate · of $334M called

    $18M in races still counting

  2. 2No Going Back PAC$241M
    Backed by Pop-up PAC funded by Trump's MAGA Inc.0% win rate · of $242M called

    $31M in races still counting

  3. 3Congressional Leadership Fund$195M
    Backed by House Republican leadership0% win rate · of $196M called

    $27M in races still counting

  4. 4Texas PAC$182M
    0% win rate · of $182M called
  5. 5America PAC$84M
    Backed by Elon Musk0% win rate · of $84M called

    $2.9M in races still counting

  6. 6Americans for Prosperity Action$82M
    Backed by Koch network14% win rate · of $96M called

    $8.8M in races still counting

  7. 7Defend American Jobs$58M
    Backed by Crypto industry45% win rate · of $105M called

    $301K in races still counting

  8. 8MAGA Inc.$41M
    Backed by Trump's super PAC0% win rate · of $41M called

    $1.8M in races still counting

  9. 9Safety & Affordability PAC$41M
    Backed by Pop-up PAC funded by Trump's MAGA Inc.0% win rate · of $41M called

    $22M in races still counting

  10. 10Glcf, Inc.$26M
    16% win rate · of $31M called

Networks

Groups added up by who is behind them

Some backers split their spending across several super PACs. Here each network's groups are added together, so it ranks as one.

Backed the winners

  1. 1Democratic machine$500M
    House Majority PAC · WinSenate100% win rate · of $501M called

    2 groups combined · $64M in races still counting

  2. 2Crypto industry$75M
    Defend American Jobs · Protect Progress · Fairshake50% win rate · of $149M called

    3 groups combined · $1.9M in races still counting

Backed the losers

  1. 1Republican machine$601M
    Senate Leadership Fund · Congressional Leadership Fund · Americans for Prosperity Action · Restoration PAC4% win rate · of $629M called

    4 groups combined · $55M in races still counting

  2. 2Trump's MAGA Inc.$324M
    No Going Back PAC · Safety & Affordability PAC · MAGA Inc.0% win rate · of $325M called

    3 groups combined · $55M in races still counting

  3. 3Elon Musk$84M
    America PAC0% win rate · of $84M called

    $2.9M in races still counting

  4. 4AIPAC$21M
    United Democracy Project25% win rate · of $28M called

    $2.5M in races still counting

People, companies and dark money

The donors behind them

Each donor's money is split the way the groups they funded spent theirs. At least $1M in called races.
All donors →

Backed the winners

  1. 1House Majority Forward$70M
    Dark money99% win rate · of $71M called

    Gave $94M in all · $18M in races still counting

  2. 2Michael Bloomberg$40M
    Individual · media99% win rate · of $40M called

    Gave $54M in all · $4.5M in races still counting

  3. 3League of Conservation Voters, Inc.$25M
    Company / nonprofit98% win rate · of $25M called

    Gave $31M in all · $2.2M in races still counting

  4. 4Reid Hoffman$22M
    Individual · tech100% win rate · of $22M called

    Gave $32M in all · $1.6M in races still counting

  5. 5Democracy Matters$11M
    Company / nonprofit86% win rate · of $13M called

    Gave $22M in all · $842K in races still counting

  6. 6Environmental Defense Action Fund$9.2M
    Company / nonprofit87% win rate · of $11M called

    Gave $14M in all · $895K in races still counting

  7. 7American Opportunity Action$8.8M
    Company / nonprofit100% win rate · of $8.8M called

    Gave $24M in all · $5.0M in races still counting

  8. 8Public First Action Inc$8.1M
    Dark money83% win rate · of $9.7M called

    Gave $29M in all · $2.7M in races still counting

  9. 9JB Pritzker$7.8M
    Individual · agri100% win rate · of $7.8M called

    Gave $12M in all · $189K in races still counting

  10. 10Deborah Simon$6.6M
    Individual93% win rate · of $7.1M called

    Gave $17M in all · $564K in races still counting

Backed the losers

  1. 1Elon Musk$193M
    Individual · tech2% win rate · of $197M called

    Gave $391M in all · $11M in races still counting

  2. 2American Action Network$48M
    Dark money0% win rate · of $48M called

    Gave $64M in all · $6.6M in races still counting

  3. 3Miriam Adelson$38M
    Individual · vice3% win rate · of $39M called

    Gave $66M in all · $3.8M in races still counting

  4. 4Koch Inc.$21M
    Company · oil14% win rate · of $24M called

    Gave $31M in all · $2.2M in races still counting

  5. 5Stephen Schwarzman$21M
    Individual · finance5% win rate · of $22M called

    Gave $37M in all · $1.5M in races still counting

  6. 6Crypto.com (Foris DAX)$18M
    Company · crypto5% win rate · of $19M called

    Gave $38M in all · $2.5M in races still counting

  7. 7Paul Singer$17M
    Individual · finance9% win rate · of $19M called

    Gave $33M in all · $2.0M in races still counting

  8. 8Jeff Yass$17M
    Individual · finance12% win rate · of $19M called

    Gave $56M in all · $4.3M in races still counting

  9. 9Timothy Mellon$16M
    Individual · finance0% win rate · of $16M called

    Gave $21M in all · $2.2M in races still counting

  10. 10Diane Hendricks$16M
    Individual · realestate0% win rate · of $16M called

    Gave $31M in all · $2.2M in races still counting

PAC checks

PACs that paid candidates directly

Checks straight to campaigns, at least $100K to called races. Most PAC money goes to incumbents, who usually win, so high win rates are normal here and a losing record stands out.
All PACs →

Backed the winners

  1. 1American Israel Public Affairs Committee Political Action Committee$2.0M
    Membership88% win rate · of $2.2M called

    208 of 238 called candidates won, 33 still counting

  2. 2National Association of Realtors Political Action Committee$2.0M
    Membership · National Association of Realtors92% win rate · of $2.1M called

    323 of 353 called candidates won, 39 still counting

  3. 3American Federation of State County & Municipal Employees P E O P L E$1.9M
    Union · American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees, AFL-CIO98% win rate · of $1.9M called

    211 of 217 called candidates won, 17 still counting

  4. 4Machinists Non Partisan Political League of the International Association of Machinists & Aerospace Workers$1.8M
    Union · International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers91% win rate · of $2.0M called

    219 of 245 called candidates won, 18 still counting

  5. 5American Association for Justice Political Action Committee (Aaj PAC)$1.7M
    Membership · American Association for Justice (Aaj)98% win rate · of $1.7M called

    229 of 238 called candidates won, 16 still counting

  6. 6American Crystal Sugar Company Political Action Committee$1.7M
    Corporate · American Crystal Sugar Compay93% win rate · of $1.8M called

    226 of 245 called candidates won, 27 still counting

  7. 7National Beer Wholesalers Association Political Action Committee$1.6M
    Trade group · National Beer Wholesalers Association90% win rate · of $1.8M called

    299 of 327 called candidates won, 32 still counting

  8. 8American Institute of Certified Public Accountants Political Action Committee$1.6M
    Membership · American Institute of Certified Public Accountants89% win rate · of $1.8M called

    221 of 244 called candidates won, 34 still counting

  9. 9American Bankers Association PAC (Bankpac)$1.5M
    Trade group · American Bankers Association (Aba)89% win rate · of $1.7M called

    263 of 291 called candidates won, 32 still counting

  10. 10American Federation of Teachers, AFL-CIO Committee On Political Education$1.3M
    Union99% win rate · of $1.3M called

    201 of 204 called candidates won, 11 still counting

Backed the losers

  1. 1Seal PAC Supporting Electing American Leaders PAC$458K
    Super PAC36% win rate · of $721K called

    66 of 125 called candidates won, 28 still counting

  2. 2First in Freedom PAC$315K
    Leadership PAC30% win rate · of $449K called

    33 of 82 called candidates won, 25 still counting

  3. 3Conservative Opportunity Leadership and Enterprise PAC$274K
    Leadership PAC · Cole Combined Committee45% win rate · of $498K called

    36 of 72 called candidates won, 14 still counting

  4. 4The Guardian Fund$273K
    Other · Jack Begman29% win rate · of $383K called

    28 of 66 called candidates won, 11 still counting

  5. 5NRCC$265K
    Party · Cole Combined Committee0% win rate · of $265K called

    0 of 40 called candidates won, 8 still counting

  6. 6Mvl PAC$260K
    Leadership PAC28% win rate · of $363K called

    20 of 59 called candidates won, 17 still counting

  7. 7Eureka Political Action Committee$258K
    Leadership PAC13% win rate · of $296K called

    8 of 46 called candidates won, 8 still counting

  8. 8Clf$255K
    Super PAC · Protect the House 20240% win rate · of $255K called

    0 of 38 called candidates won, 11 still counting

  9. 9Republican Jewish Coalition Political Action Committee (Rjc-PAC)$250K
    Membership · Republican Jewish Coalition41% win rate · of $426K called

    28 of 66 called candidates won, 11 still counting

  10. 10Rvfpac$182K
    Leadership PAC43% win rate · of $317K called

    39 of 79 called candidates won, 18 still counting

How this is scored: money is matched to the candidate it backed or attacked, then to the race result. Primary spending counts as a win if the backed candidate made the November ballot. Money in uncalled races, and money we could not match to a result, is shown in the bar but left out of the win rate. Full methodology.