Winners & losers

Who backed the winners in 2022, and who lost the most

Every super PAC, donor and PAC ranked by how much of its money ended up on the winning side. A dollar counts as a win if it backed the candidate who won or attacked one who lost. Win rates count called races only.

Biggest loser

$143M

Senate Leadership Fund, on losing sides (42% win rate)

Biggest winner

$119M

Senate Majority PAC, on winning sides (76% win rate)

Outside money on losers

$813M

42% of $1.91B in called races

Races called

471 / 471

Final results

Super PACs and outside groups

Who backed the winners, who wasted the most

Groups that spent on their own to help or attack candidates, with at least $1M in called races. Ranked by dollars on their side.
All super PACs →
✓ Backed the winner or attacked the loser ✗ Backed the loser or attacked the winner Result not matched

Backed the winners

  1. Backed by Senate Democratic leadership76% win rate · of $157M called
  2. Backed by House Democratic leadership78% win rate · of $144M called
  3. 3DCCC$73M
    Backed by House Democrats' party committee76% win rate · of $96M called
  4. Backed by Senate Majority PAC affiliate100% win rate · of $61M called
  5. 5DSCC$45M
    Backed by Senate Democrats' party committee91% win rate · of $49M called
  6. Backed by Koch network52% win rate · of $67M called
  7. 90% win rate · of $32M called
  8. 92% win rate · of $29M called
  9. 80% win rate · of $28M called
  10. Backed by Pro-Biden super PAC99% win rate · of $16M called

Backed the losers

  1. Backed by Senate Republican leadership42% win rate · of $246M called
  2. Backed by House Republican leadership38% win rate · of $222M called
  3. 3NRCC$57M
    Backed by House Republicans' party committee35% win rate · of $87M called
  4. 37% win rate · of $51M called
  5. 5NRSC$25M
    Backed by Senate Republicans' party committee27% win rate · of $34M called
  6. 2% win rate · of $15M called
  7. Backed by Senate Majority PAC affiliate0% win rate · of $15M called
  8. 39% win rate · of $22M called
  9. Backed by Pro-Trump super PAC16% win rate · of $15M called
  10. 8% win rate · of $13M called

Networks

Groups added up by who is behind them

Some backers split their spending across several super PACs. Here each network's groups are added together, so it ranks as one.

Backed the winners

  1. Senate Majority PAC · House Majority PAC · DCCC · Georgia Honor · DSCC · Honor Pennsylvania · Priorities USA Action · Future Forward (FF PAC) · Independence USA PAC79% win rate · of $552M called

    9 groups combined

  2. Protect Our Future · American Dream Federal Action · Crypto Freedom PAC · Web3 Forward · Crypto Innovation95% win rate · of $30M called

    5 groups combined

  3. 3AIPAC$11M
    United Democracy Project66% win rate · of $16M called

Backed the losers

  1. Senate Leadership Fund · Congressional Leadership Fund · NRCC · Americans for Prosperity Action · NRSC · MAGA Inc. · Restoration PAC39% win rate · of $674M called

    7 groups combined

People, companies and dark money

The donors behind them

Each donor's money is split the way the groups they funded spent theirs. At least $1M in called races.
All donors →

Backed the winners

  1. Dark money78% win rate · of $36M called

    Gave $75M in all

  2. Individual · media81% win rate · of $28M called

    Gave $40M in all

  3. Individual · realestate85% win rate · of $21M called

    Gave $24M in all

  4. Individual · tech66% win rate · of $25M called

    Gave $35M in all

  5. Individual · media77% win rate · of $20M called

    Gave $32M in all

  6. Company / nonprofit90% win rate · of $16M called

    Gave $30M in all

  7. Individual · crypto88% win rate · of $16M called

    Gave $33M in all

  8. Dark money52% win rate · of $22M called

    Gave $27M in all

  9. Individual · crypto81% win rate · of $13M called

    Gave $21M in all

  10. Company / nonprofit84% win rate · of $12M called

    Gave $21M in all

Backed the losers

  1. Dark money42% win rate · of $62M called

    Gave $75M in all

  2. Individual · finance36% win rate · of $52M called

    Gave $65M in all

  3. Dark money38% win rate · of $43M called

    Gave $51M in all

  4. Individual · finance32% win rate · of $33M called

    Gave $40M in all

  5. Individual · finance39% win rate · of $30M called

    Gave $36M in all

  6. Individual · agri36% win rate · of $28M called

    Gave $77M in all

  7. Individual · vice40% win rate · of $21M called

    Gave $25M in all

  8. Individual · finance47% win rate · of $21M called

    Gave $48M in all

  9. Company · oil49% win rate · of $21M called

    Gave $25M in all

  10. Individual · vice18% win rate · of $12M called

    Gave $14M in all

PAC checks

PACs that paid candidates directly

Checks straight to campaigns, at least $100K to called races. Most PAC money goes to incumbents, who usually win, so high win rates are normal here and a losing record stands out.
All PACs →

Backed the winners

  1. Membership · California Real Estate Political Action Committee97% win rate · of $3.7M called

    424 of 441 called candidates won

  2. Trade group · National Beer Wholesalers Association98% win rate · of $3.0M called

    376 of 386 called candidates won

  3. Trade group · Credit Union National Association95% win rate · of $2.6M called

    381 of 396 called candidates won

  4. Membership97% win rate · of $2.5M called

    335 of 345 called candidates won

  5. Corporate · American Crystal Sugar Compay95% win rate · of $2.4M called

    275 of 289 called candidates won

  6. Corporate · At&T Inc.97% win rate · of $2.3M called

    356 of 366 called candidates won

  7. Trade group · National Automobile Dealers Association95% win rate · of $2.4M called

    301 of 318 called candidates won

  8. Trade group · American Bankers Association (Aba)96% win rate · of $2.2M called

    294 of 309 called candidates won

  9. Corporate · The Home Depot Inc.96% win rate · of $2.1M called

    247 of 261 called candidates won

  10. Union87% win rate · of $2.2M called

    208 of 248 called candidates won

Backed the losers

  1. Other0% win rate · of $382K called

    0 of 1 called candidates won

  2. 2NRCC$230K
    Party · Cole Combined Committee46% win rate · of $425K called

    37 of 82 called candidates won

  3. Membership · National Pro-Life Alliance42% win rate · of $286K called

    148 of 182 called candidates won

  4. Leadership PAC43% win rate · of $153K called

    31 of 54 called candidates won

  5. Leadership PAC · Moulton Leadership Fund48% win rate · of $165K called

    28 of 46 called candidates won

  6. Leadership PAC · Swalwell, Eric46% win rate · of $147K called

    37 of 60 called candidates won

  7. Other42% win rate · of $132K called

    18 of 42 called candidates won

  8. Leadership PAC · Team Gt48% win rate · of $147K called

    33 of 63 called candidates won

  9. Super PAC · American Conservative Union42% win rate · of $120K called

    12 of 27 called candidates won

  10. Super PAC48% win rate · of $130K called

    9 of 18 called candidates won

How this is scored: money is matched to the candidate it backed or attacked, then to the race result. Primary spending counts as a win if the backed candidate made the November ballot. Money in uncalled races, and money we could not match to a result, is shown in the bar but left out of the win rate. Full methodology.