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Donor

Paradigm Operations LP

Company / nonprofit

California

5 gifts to 3 groups, as reported to the FEC by the groups that received them.

Winner

Paradigm Operations LP gave $3.0M to super PACs and other outside groups in the 2024 federal elections, and 83% of it helped Republicans (FEC filings through Dec 31, 2024). Counting dollars, not candidates, and only races already called, 83% ended up on the winning side ($1.0M won, $207K lost).

Gave to outside spenders

$3.0M

83% of it helped Republicans

Ended up on the winning side

83%

$1.0M of the dollars in races already called

Spent on the losing side

$207K

Not spent yet

$1.8M

Sitting with groups that have not spent

Where the cheques went

A company, LLC or nonprofit. Where its money came from is not reported. Each gift is split the way the group that received it split its spending between winners and losers, so a $10M cheque to a group that spent 80% on losers counts as $8M on the losing side.
✓ Backed the winner or attacked the loser ✗ Backed the loser or attacked the winner Result not matched
GroupGaveHow the group spent itWon / lost
The Sentinel Action Fund

$1.7M not spent yet

$2.5M
$768K / $19K
Congressional Leadership Fund

$22K not spent yet

$250K
$128K / $98K
House Majority PAC

$48K not spent yet

$250K
$105K / $90K

The trail

What the money bought

The candidates Paradigm Operations LP's money was spent for or against, pro-rated by Paradigm Operations LP's share of each group's funding.
CandidateRaceSpendingTheir sharePaid off?
Bernard F. MorenoOhio SenateSupporting$204K✓ Yes
Donald TrumpPresidentSupporting$160K✓ Yes
Tim SheehyMontana SenateSupporting$137K✓ Yes
Kamala HarrisPresidentAttacking$82K✓ Yes
Sherrod BrownOhio SenateAttacking$81K✓ Yes
Dave McCormickPennsylvania SenateSupporting$56K✓ Yes
Jon TesterMontana SenateAttacking$33K✓ Yes
Sam BrownNevada SenateSupporting$16K✗ No
Robert P. Casey Jr.Pennsylvania SenateAttacking$14K✓ Yes
Derek TranCalifornia 45th DistrictAttacking$12K✗ No
Mondaire L. JonesNew York 17th DistrictAttacking$11K✓ Yes
Curtis HertelMichigan 7th DistrictAttacking$10K✓ Yes

Company / nonprofit as classified from the FEC entity type and public reporting.

Questions people ask

How much did Paradigm Operations LP spend on the 2024 elections, and did it win?
Paradigm Operations LP gave $3.0M to super PACs and other outside groups in the 2024 federal elections, and 83% of it helped Republicans (FEC filings through Dec 31, 2024). Counting dollars, not candidates, and only races already called, 83% ended up on the winning side ($1.0M won, $207K lost).
Which super PACs did Paradigm Operations LP fund in 2024?
The Sentinel Action Fund ($2.5M), Congressional Leadership Fund ($250K), House Majority PAC ($250K).
Which candidates did Paradigm Operations LP's money end up backing or attacking in 2024?
for Bernard F. Moreno (Ohio Senate, about $204K, won); for Donald Trump (President, about $160K, won); for Tim Sheehy (Montana Senate, about $137K, won). Amounts are the donor's share of each group's spending.