Which candidates did PAC to the Future's money end up backing or attacking in 2022?

against Mark Robertson (Nevada 1st District, about $52K, won); against Cassy Garcia (Texas 28th District, about $46K, won); against Yesli I. Vega (Virginia 7th District, about $45K, won). Amounts are the donor's share of each group's spending.

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Donor

PAC to the Future

Another PAC

4 reported gifts; 1 recipient group listed, as reported to the FEC by the groups that received them.

Backed winners

PAC to the Future gave $1.8M to super PACs and other outside groups in the 2022 federal elections, and 100% of it helped Democrats (FEC filings with varying coverage dates; the most common larger-campaign cutoff is Dec 31, 2022). Among dollars with a matched election-stage result, 78% were on the winning side ($1.1M won, $306K lost). $10K had no matched result and is excluded.

Gave to outside spenders

$1.8M

100% of it helped Democrats

Winning share of scored dollars

78%

$1.4M scored (79% of gifts)

Spent on the losing side

$306K

Not allocated or result unknown

$367K

$356K not allocated to tracked outside spending; $10K has no matched result. Neither is cash on hand.

Where the checks went

Another political committee passing money along. The original donor is one step upstream. Each gift is split the way the group that received it split its spending between winners and losers, so a $10M check to a group that spent 80% on losers counts as $8M on the losing side.

✓ Backed the winner or attacked the loser ✗ Backed the loser or attacked the winner Result not matched

Group	Gave	How the group spent it	Won / lost
House Majority PAC $356K not allocated to tracked outside spending	$1.8M		$1.1M / $306K

The trail

What the money bought

The candidates PAC to the Future's money was spent for or against, pro-rated by PAC to the Future's share of each group's funding.

Candidate	Race	Spending	Their share	Paid off?
Mark Robertson	Nevada 1st District	Attacking	$52K	✓ Yes
Cassy Garcia	Texas 28th District	Attacking	$46K	✓ Yes
Yesli I. Vega	Virginia 7th District	Attacking	$45K	✓ Yes
Karoline Leavitt	New Hampshire 1st District	Attacking	$45K	✓ Yes
Jeremy Shaffer	Pennsylvania 17th District	Attacking	$43K	✓ Yes
Lisa Scheller	Pennsylvania 7th District	Attacking	$43K	✓ Yes
Tom Barrett	Michigan 7th District	Attacking	$42K	✓ Yes
David G. Valadao	California 22nd District	Attacking	$41K	✗ No
Tyler Kistner	Minnesota 2nd District	Attacking	$41K	✓ Yes
Bruce Poliquin	Maine 2nd District	Attacking	$38K	✓ Yes
Frank T. Pallota	New Jersey 5th District	Attacking	$38K	✓ Yes
Matt Larkin	Washington 8th District	Attacking	$37K	✓ Yes

Another PAC as classified from the FEC entity type and public reporting.

Questions people ask

How much did PAC to the Future spend on the 2022 elections, and did it win?: PAC to the Future gave $1.8M to super PACs and other outside groups in the 2022 federal elections, and 100% of it helped Democrats (FEC filings with varying coverage dates; the most common larger-campaign cutoff is Dec 31, 2022). Among dollars with a matched election-stage result, 78% were on the winning side ($1.1M won, $306K lost). $10K had no matched result and is excluded.
Which super PACs did PAC to the Future fund in 2022?: House Majority PAC ($1.8M).
Which candidates did PAC to the Future's money end up backing or attacking in 2022?: against Mark Robertson (Nevada 1st District, about $52K, won); against Cassy Garcia (Texas 28th District, about $46K, won); against Yesli I. Vega (Virginia 7th District, about $45K, won). Amounts are the donor's share of each group's spending.